Huawei: what s next for smartphones?

Huawei fell abruptly on the peak of success. But not because the smartphones were bad and customers had lost their trust, but because the US had decided to bring down the largest and most innovative 5G manufacturer.

The inclusion of Huawei on the entity list in May 2019 was not a brief misunderstanding, as many, including Huawei, hoped at the time. In the meantime, the USA has consistently tightened the thumbscrews of the Chinese manufacturer.

And the first thing you notice as a customer is when you look at the manufacturer's smartphones. In 2019, Huawei devices were simply THE best smartphones in the Android world. But suddenly you weren't allowed to do anything anymore. Use Google services & apps on smartphones? Passé!

But when the supply chains to the chip producers in the form of TSMC were cut this year, they knew it would be damn tight for Huawei smartphones. But how will it go on?

There was a little rebellion again this year when Samsung was overtaken for a few months and became the largest smartphone manufacturer in the world. But now at the end of the year it is miles away from it, meanwhile it is predicted that Huawei will sink into insignificance in 2021.

Honor has now also been sold, the brand that was extremely popular with young people in China. Was it because you needed the money or because you hope that at least Honor will have a chance of survival? Probably a little of both.

But how could things go on with Huawei and its smartphones? I say consciously, could, because nobody knows what will come.

Presumably, Huawei will gradually say goodbye to all markets outside of China. For the simple reason that sooner or later they will no longer be competitive with smartphones. Because they are still denied access to 5G chips.

Since it does not help now also first when now building its first production plant for chips in China completed has. Because what is produced there is by no means competitive. Next year 45 nm chips are to be produced there and by 2022 it should be 28 nm chipsets. Internationally, 5-nm is currently the standard and in 2022 it will be 3-nm chips.

It will definitely be 5 or more years before China and Huawei catch up here and catch up. A long time that has to be bridged. Other problems arise with the software.

Android cannot and will no longer be used. That's why there is HarmonyOS, which should run on all major Huawei smartphones from next year. One advantage is that Android apps run smoothly on Huawei's own OS. Still, there is the problem of the lack of Google services.

In order to be successful here in the western markets, these are mandatory, even if you don't really need them. Nevertheless, the users have become so used to their Google Android that they will not want to move away from it.

Maybe at some point there will be the possibility that the Google services and apps can be legally installed on HarmonyOS, so that you have the best of both worlds. An open bootloader would probably be an advantage, but Huawei has opposed this in recent years.

So what's left? Huawei will presumably continue to manufacture smartphones in the next few years, but will probably operate "under the radar" of most of them. Probably only in China and some other Asian countries.

It is currently difficult to imagine that Huawei will continue to appear in Europe, simply because at some point you will also see that the effort is far too great for the return. And since Huawei will have to turn over every yuan at some point, it will probably turn out that the European market will be given up.

But I am assuming that if it comes to that, everything will be done in China and at Huawei so that in 5 years or so, state-of-the-art chips, and everything else, too, can be manufactured completely independently. And then I see Huawei come back, slowly approaching it at first, but then possibly with full force. And then the US may have created something that it can no longer control.

Because if China can produce cutting-edge technology completely independently without American technology, then there is no stopping it. Because then no country can do anything about sanctions.

Or what do you mean? Let me know in the comments!

The contribution Huawei: What's next for smartphones? first appeared on Xiaomist .

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